The ongoing debate recently in Turkey is that the Turkish government has suppressed US Dollar/Turkish Lira exchange rates (USD/TRY) to prevent economic turmoil. Many authorities in the business, especially exporters, think that the USD/TRY parity should be in the range of 24-25 Turkish Lira. To look through that, we will predict for the whole yearContinue reading “Predicting the Real USD/TRY Rates with MARS”
Tag Archives: ggplotly
Explanatory Analysis of the XGBoost Model for Budget Deficits of U.S.
The debt ceiling was always an issue in the United States. As of today, the national government debt has reached the debt ceiling, which is $31.4 trillion. The authorities have warned of chaotic consequences if Congress no longer approves the debt ceiling. The U.S. government has managed an annual deficit of approximately $1 billion sinceContinue reading “Explanatory Analysis of the XGBoost Model for Budget Deficits of U.S.”
Asia Against Dollar: Forecasting with Modeltime
While the US midterm election escalated, the dollar’s performance weakened; especially this situation happened against the Asian currencies. South Korean won(KRW) is the best performer among them. The Chinese yuan(CNY) was behind its counterparts because of their aggressive public health measures related to the zero-COVID protocol. Let’s add the Japanese yen(JPY) and Malaysian ringgit(MYR) toContinue reading “Asia Against Dollar: Forecasting with Modeltime”
The Effect of Early Childhood Education on Wealth: Modeling with Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART)
Recently, I read a tweet that reports children who grow up in poor conditions earn much less as adults than those with better conditions. I believe one of the best ways to check that is to compare childhood education participation rates with wealth in related countries; to do that, I will use early childhood educationContinue reading “The Effect of Early Childhood Education on Wealth: Modeling with Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART)”
Modeling the Extinction of Species with SVM-Kernel
In the last article, we analyzed carbon emissions and the effects that created them. This time I want to look into another important environmental issue, animal biodiversity; by animals, I mean mammals, birds, fish, reptiles, and amphibians. The metric we are going to be interested in is the living planet index which measures the changeContinue reading “Modeling the Extinction of Species with SVM-Kernel”
Nuclear Threat Projection with Neural Network Time Series Forecasting
Unfortunately, we have been through tough times recently as going on Russian invasion in Ukraine. As Putin stacked to the corner via sanctions and lost in the field, he has been getting to be more dangerous. He has even threatened to use nuclear weapons if necessary. Because of the nuclear danger we’ve just mentioned above,Continue reading “Nuclear Threat Projection with Neural Network Time Series Forecasting”
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