Forecasting with ARIMA from {fable}: The Election is Coming for Turkey?

Nowadays, every journalist and intellectual talks about a probable early election in Turkey’s ongoing poor economic conditions. But, is it politically right decision to go early election before the officially announced 23 June 2023 in terms of ruling parties? In order to answer this question, we have to choose some variables to monitor economic conditions,Continue reading “Forecasting with ARIMA from {fable}: The Election is Coming for Turkey?”

Trend Forecasting Models and Seasonality with Time Series

Gasoline prices always is an issue in Turkey; because Turkish people love to drive where they would go but they complain about the prices anyway. I wanted to start digging for the last seven years’ prices and how they went. I have used unleaded gasoline 95 octane prices from Petrol Ofisi which is a fuelContinue reading “Trend Forecasting Models and Seasonality with Time Series”