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Continue reading →: Conformal Prediction Intervals of XGBoost Model: Bitcoin Peaks Amid Coinbase’s Earnings StruggleIn the second quarter, Coinbase did not meet Wall Street’s expectations. This decline occurred alongside lower market volatility, despite BTC prices reaching record highs according to Kaiko Research. The chart below indicates that the market priced the aforementioned from August. We can observe a negative decoupling between the Bitcoin and…
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Continue reading →: Global Modeling with Automated ML: Impact of One Big Beautiful Bill on Big TechMorgan Stanley analysts believe that the One Big Beautiful Bill will be a boon for Big Tech, as it will provide a cash influx to AI giants, thereby enhancing their dominance in future AI competitions. But Trump’s 1 August tariffs, which compensate for tax cuts in the aforementioned bill, seemed…
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Continue reading →: Trend-Anomaly Analysis of U.S. Federal Budget BalanceAccording to the Trend-Anomaly chart, after the liberation day tariffs, the U.S. Federal Budget Balance has recovered from the extremely high level deficit. Source code:
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Continue reading →: Nested Forecasting: Analyzing the Relationship Between the Dollar and Stock Market TrendsThe prevailing opinion is that because countries are exporting more goods to the US than it exports to them, resulting in a trade deficit. In return for their exports, these countries receive US dollars, which they often use to purchase US government bonds and stocks. Over time, this process contributes…

