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Continue reading →: Fund Forecasting: Comparing Prophet, ETS, and ARIMA using BaggingWe will try to decide on a fund that is based on the agriculture and food sector indexes for investing. The majority of the fund is based on the Indxx Global Agriculture Net Total Return USD Index. We will take First Trust Indxx Global Agriculture ETF (FTAG) as a reference…
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Continue reading →: Forecasting Freddie Mac with the DeepAR AlgorithmMortgage rates have been the highest in the US over the last 20 years. Inventory shortage and high inflation have driven home prices up. I have analyzed this situation by taking FMCC as an indicator of the American housing market. I’ve examined the distribution of Freddie Mac(FMCC) before and after…
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Continue reading →: Time Series Forecasting by Comparing Many Models: EUR/TRY RatesThe Turkish central bank president has changed, and she has started to execute new economic policies. Regarding that, the Turkish Lira-related currency rates have risen. Therefore, I wonder how the Euro to Turkish lira exchange rates will look by the end of the year. While we will model the exchange…
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Continue reading →: Understanding the Effect of Subsidies on Agriculture with Neural NetworksToday, subsidies are the most common method of encouraging countries to deal with global warming; but it is debatable how effective they are. For instance, agriculture subsidies cause farmers to violate forest frontier and make them responsible for 14% of global deforestation every year. Not to mention excessive use of…

