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Continue reading →: Time Series Analysis and Understanding a Eurobond Fund with ProphetThe Eurobonds are so popular in Turkey nowadays. The reason for this is that the CDS of Turkey fell for quite a while since the new economic outlook began, according to the economists. We will look into the factors that shape this trend in this article. First, we build our…
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Continue reading →: Fund Forecasting: Comparing Prophet, ETS, and ARIMA using BaggingWe will try to decide on a fund that is based on the agriculture and food sector indexes for investing. The majority of the fund is based on the Indxx Global Agriculture Net Total Return USD Index. We will take First Trust Indxx Global Agriculture ETF (FTAG) as a reference…
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Continue reading →: Forecasting Freddie Mac with the DeepAR AlgorithmMortgage rates have been the highest in the US over the last 20 years. Inventory shortage and high inflation have driven home prices up. I have analyzed this situation by taking FMCC as an indicator of the American housing market. I’ve examined the distribution of Freddie Mac(FMCC) before and after…
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Continue reading →: Time Series Forecasting by Comparing Many Models: EUR/TRY RatesThe Turkish central bank president has changed, and she has started to execute new economic policies. Regarding that, the Turkish Lira-related currency rates have risen. Therefore, I wonder how the Euro to Turkish lira exchange rates will look by the end of the year. While we will model the exchange…

